Stock Analysis

Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD's (SHSE:600269) 22% CAGR outpaced the company's earnings growth over the same three-year period

SHSE:600269
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By buying an index fund, investors can approximate the average market return. But if you pick the right individual stocks, you could make more than that. Just take a look at Jiangxi Ganyue Expressway CO.,LTD. (SHSE:600269), which is up 66%, over three years, soundly beating the market decline of 19% (not including dividends). However, more recent returns haven't been as impressive as that, with the stock returning just 43% in the last year, including dividends.

Since it's been a strong week for Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD shareholders, let's have a look at trend of the longer term fundamentals.

See our latest analysis for Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

During three years of share price growth, Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD achieved compound earnings per share growth of 3.7% per year. This EPS growth is lower than the 18% average annual increase in the share price. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did three years ago. It is quite common to see investors become enamoured with a business, after a few years of solid progress.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600269 Earnings Per Share Growth December 28th 2024

Dive deeper into Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. As it happens, Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD's TSR for the last 3 years was 82%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 43% over the last year. Of course, that includes the dividend. That gain is better than the annual TSR over five years, which is 11%. Therefore it seems like sentiment around the company has been positive lately. Someone with an optimistic perspective could view the recent improvement in TSR as indicating that the business itself is getting better with time. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Jiangxi Ganyue ExpresswayLTD .

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking elsewhere. So take a peek at this free list of companies we expect will grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.