Stock Analysis

Is Unilumin Group (SZSE:300232) A Risky Investment?

SZSE:300232
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We can see that Unilumin Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:300232) does use debt in its business. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Unilumin Group

What Is Unilumin Group's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Unilumin Group had CN¥855.9m in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. But it also has CN¥1.93b in cash to offset that, meaning it has CN¥1.07b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:300232 Debt to Equity History August 1st 2024

How Healthy Is Unilumin Group's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Unilumin Group had liabilities of CN¥5.09b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥510.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.93b as well as receivables valued at CN¥2.60b due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CN¥1.06b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Of course, Unilumin Group has a market capitalization of CN¥5.51b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. Despite its noteworthy liabilities, Unilumin Group boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

Importantly, Unilumin Group's EBIT fell a jaw-dropping 70% in the last twelve months. If that earnings trend continues then paying off its debt will be about as easy as herding cats on to a roller coaster. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Unilumin Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. Unilumin Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Happily for any shareholders, Unilumin Group actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. That sort of strong cash generation warms our hearts like a puppy in a bumblebee suit.

Summing Up

Although Unilumin Group's balance sheet isn't particularly strong, due to the total liabilities, it is clearly positive to see that it has net cash of CN¥1.07b. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥156m, being 155% of its EBIT. So we don't have any problem with Unilumin Group's use of debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. We've identified 3 warning signs with Unilumin Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.