Stock Analysis

Is Hitevision (SZSE:002955) A Risky Investment?

SZSE:002955
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Hitevision Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002955) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Hitevision

What Is Hitevision's Net Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of June 2024 Hitevision had CN¥84.0m of debt, an increase on CN¥47.7m, over one year. But on the other hand it also has CN¥1.87b in cash, leading to a CN¥1.78b net cash position.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002955 Debt to Equity History September 27th 2024

How Healthy Is Hitevision's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Hitevision had liabilities of CN¥1.01b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥437.4m falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.87b and CN¥676.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So it actually has CN¥1.09b more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This excess liquidity suggests that Hitevision is taking a careful approach to debt. Because it has plenty of assets, it is unlikely to have trouble with its lenders. Simply put, the fact that Hitevision has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.

On the other hand, Hitevision saw its EBIT drop by 6.7% in the last twelve months. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Hitevision's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. While Hitevision has net cash on its balance sheet, it's still worth taking a look at its ability to convert earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, to help us understand how quickly it is building (or eroding) that cash balance. Happily for any shareholders, Hitevision actually produced more free cash flow than EBIT over the last three years. There's nothing better than incoming cash when it comes to staying in your lenders' good graces.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Hitevision has net cash of CN¥1.78b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. And it impressed us with free cash flow of CN¥365m, being 115% of its EBIT. So is Hitevision's debt a risk? It doesn't seem so to us. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Hitevision you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.