Stock Analysis

Market is not liking Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's (SZSE:002465) earnings decline as stock retreats 10.0% this week

SZSE:002465
Source: Shutterstock

Investors can approximate the average market return by buying an index fund. When you buy individual stocks, you can make higher profits, but you also face the risk of under-performance. Unfortunately the Guangzhou Haige Communications Group Incorporated Company (SZSE:002465) share price slid 14% over twelve months. That falls noticeably short of the market return of around 6.1%. At least the damage isn't so bad if you look at the last three years, since the stock is down 2.2% in that time. Unfortunately the last month hasn't been any better, with the share price down 18%. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 7.2% in the same time.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

See our latest analysis for Guangzhou Haige Communications Group

In his essay The Superinvestors of Graham-and-Doddsville Warren Buffett described how share prices do not always rationally reflect the value of a business. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.

Unfortunately Guangzhou Haige Communications Group reported an EPS drop of 23% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 14% the share price fall. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared. Indeed, with a P/E ratio of 47.68 there is obviously some real optimism that earnings will bounce back.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002465 Earnings Per Share Growth January 5th 2025

Dive deeper into Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Guangzhou Haige Communications Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 6.1% in the last year, Guangzhou Haige Communications Group shareholders lost 13% (even including dividends). Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.2% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Guangzhou Haige Communications Group , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course Guangzhou Haige Communications Group may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.