Stock Analysis

Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd (SZSE:000829) Seems To Be Using A Lot Of Debt

SZSE:000829
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Telling Telecommunication Holding Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000829) makes use of debt. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.

Check out our latest analysis for Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd

How Much Debt Does Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd Carry?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd had CN¥12.7b in debt in March 2024; about the same as the year before. However, it does have CN¥5.18b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥7.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000829 Debt to Equity History August 8th 2024

A Look At Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd had liabilities of CN¥18.3b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥1.45b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥5.18b in cash and CN¥2.82b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥11.7b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CN¥8.72b, we think shareholders really should watch Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Weak interest cover of 1.2 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.4 hit our confidence in Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd like a one-two punch to the gut. This means we'd consider it to have a heavy debt load. More concerning, Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd saw its EBIT drop by 3.3% in the last twelve months. If it keeps going like that paying off its debt will be like running on a treadmill -- a lot of effort for not much advancement. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. During the last three years, Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd's interest cover and its track record of converting EBIT to free cash flow make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. For example, we've discovered 4 warning signs for Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd (1 can't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Telling Telecommunication HoldingLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.