What Beijing Advanced Digital Technology Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300541) 34% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

The Beijing Advanced Digital Technology Co., Ltd (SZSE:300541) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 34%. But the gains over the last month weren't enough to make shareholders whole, as the share price is still down 2.8% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, Beijing Advanced Digital Technology may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 56.2x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 29x and even P/E's lower than 18x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

For instance, Beijing Advanced Digital Technology's receding earnings in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will still do enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

View our latest analysis for Beijing Advanced Digital Technology

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Beijing Advanced Digital Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Growth For Beijing Advanced Digital Technology?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Beijing Advanced Digital Technology's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 43% decrease to the company's bottom line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk EPS by 53% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.

Weighing that medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 36% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that Beijing Advanced Digital Technology is trading at a P/E higher than the market. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Beijing Advanced Digital Technology's P/E?

Shares in Beijing Advanced Digital Technology have built up some good momentum lately, which has really inflated its P/E. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Beijing Advanced Digital Technology revealed its shrinking earnings over the medium-term aren't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted, given the market is set to grow. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as this earnings performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

Plus, you should also learn about these 4 warning signs we've spotted with Beijing Advanced Digital Technology (including 1 which is a bit concerning).

Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.