Stock Analysis

There's Reason For Concern Over Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc.'s (SHSE:688111) Massive 87% Price Jump

SHSE:688111
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Beijing Kingsoft Office Software, Inc. (SHSE:688111) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 87% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 16% in the last twelve months.

Following the firm bounce in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Software industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 5.8x, you may consider Beijing Kingsoft Office Software as a stock not worth researching with its 30.6x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Kingsoft Office Software

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688111 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 9th 2024

What Does Beijing Kingsoft Office Software's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for Beijing Kingsoft Office Software as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. The P/S is probably high because investors think this strong revenue performance will continue. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Beijing Kingsoft Office Software's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Beijing Kingsoft Office Software would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 12%. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 65% overall rise in revenue, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 22% per annum over the next three years. That's shaping up to be similar to the 21% per annum growth forecast for the broader industry.

With this information, we find it interesting that Beijing Kingsoft Office Software is trading at a high P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Although, additional gains will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Beijing Kingsoft Office Software's P/S

Shares in Beijing Kingsoft Office Software have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given Beijing Kingsoft Office Software's future revenue forecasts are in line with the wider industry, the fact that it trades at an elevated P/S is somewhat surprising. When we see revenue growth that just matches the industry, we don't expect elevates P/S figures to remain inflated for the long-term. Unless the company can jump ahead of the rest of the industry in the short-term, it'll be a challenge to maintain the share price at current levels.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Beijing Kingsoft Office Software you should know about.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Kingsoft Office Software might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.