Stock Analysis

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:688039) P/S Is Still On The Mark Following 27% Share Price Bounce

SHSE:688039
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Those holding Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688039) shares would be relieved that the share price has rebounded 27% in the last thirty days, but it needs to keep going to repair the recent damage it has caused to investor portfolios. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 29% in the last twelve months.

Since its price has surged higher, Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology may be sending strong sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 7.5x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Software industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.9x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:688039 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 27th 2024

What Does Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology?

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 17% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 34% during the coming year according to the dual analysts following the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

Shares in Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology have seen a strong upwards swing lately, which has really helped boost its P/S figure. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook is contributing to its high P/S. It appears that shareholders are confident in the company's future revenues, which is propping up the P/S. Unless the analysts have really missed the mark, these strong revenue forecasts should keep the share price buoyant.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 1 warning sign for Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology that we have uncovered.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.