Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd.

SHSE:688039 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥2.6b

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Valuation

Is 688039 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Sales vs Peers

  • Price-To-Sales vs Industry

  • Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 688039 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 688039's fair value for valuation analysis.

Significantly Below Fair Value: Insufficient data to calculate 688039's fair value for valuation analysis.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 688039?

Key metric: As 688039 is unprofitable we use its Price-To-Sales Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Sales ratio for 688039. This is calculated by dividing 688039's market cap by their current revenue.
What is 688039's PS Ratio?
PS Ratio9.2x
SalesCN¥287.69m
Market CapCN¥2.64b

Price to Sales Ratio vs Peers

How does 688039's PS Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PS ratio for 688039 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PSEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
300359 Qtone Education Group (Guangdong)Ltd
5.9xn/aCN¥3.1b
301396 Glory View Technology
5.3xn/aCN¥3.2b
300830 JinXianDai Information IndustryLtd
6.8xn/aCN¥3.1b
301213 Sichuan Discovery Dream Science & TechnologyLtd
28.1xn/aCN¥3.5b
688039 Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology
9.2x27.9%CN¥2.6b

Price-To-Sales vs Peers: 688039 is good value based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.2x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry

How does 688039's PS Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Software Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / SalesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
600718 Neusoft
0.9x19.2%US$1.41b
300047 Shenzhen Tianyuan DIC Information Technology
0.8xn/aUS$925.53m
300038 Beijing Shuzhi TechnologyLtd
0.2xn/aUS$52.48m
688555 Essence Information Technology
0.7xn/aUS$12.88m
No more companies available in this PS range
688039 9.2xIndustry Avg. 6.0xNo. of Companies21PS048121620+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Sales vs Industry: 688039 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.2x) compared to the CN Software industry average (6.2x).

Price to Sales Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 688039's PS Ratio compared to its Fair PS Ratio? This is the expected PS Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

688039 PS Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PS Ratio9.2x
Fair PS Ratio4.2x

Price-To-Sales vs Fair Ratio: 688039 is expensive based on its Price-To-Sales Ratio (9.2x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Sales Ratio (4.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 688039 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥23.88
CN¥43.11
+80.5%
18.9%CN¥52.00CN¥32.32n/a3
Jan ’26CN¥27.07
CN¥43.11
+59.2%
18.9%CN¥52.00CN¥32.32n/a3
Dec ’25CN¥29.76
CN¥43.11
+44.8%
18.9%CN¥52.00CN¥32.32n/a3
Nov ’25CN¥25.63
CN¥43.11
+68.2%
18.9%CN¥52.00CN¥32.32n/a3
Oct ’25CN¥27.24
CN¥40.45
+48.5%
29.0%CN¥52.00CN¥24.35n/a3
Sep ’25CN¥19.72
CN¥40.45
+105.1%
29.0%CN¥52.00CN¥24.35n/a3
Aug ’25CN¥22.49
CN¥42.98
+91.1%
19.4%CN¥52.00CN¥31.93n/a3
Jul ’25CN¥24.60
CN¥42.98
+74.7%
19.4%CN¥52.00CN¥31.93n/a3
Jun ’25CN¥25.58
CN¥39.98
+56.3%
14.4%CN¥45.00CN¥31.93n/a3
May ’25CN¥26.92
CN¥37.47
+39.2%
14.8%CN¥43.00CN¥31.93n/a2
Apr ’25CN¥30.40
CN¥42.36
+39.3%
1.5%CN¥43.00CN¥41.72n/a2
Mar ’25CN¥36.53
CN¥42.36
+16.0%
1.5%CN¥43.00CN¥41.72n/a2
Feb ’25CN¥21.82
CN¥42.36
+94.1%
1.5%CN¥43.00CN¥41.72n/a2
Jan ’25CN¥36.16
CN¥42.36
+17.1%
1.5%CN¥43.00CN¥41.72CN¥27.072
Dec ’24CN¥33.45
CN¥42.14
+26.0%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥29.762
Nov ’24CN¥29.65
CN¥42.14
+42.1%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥25.632
Oct ’24CN¥33.01
CN¥42.14
+27.7%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥27.242
Sep ’24CN¥31.47
CN¥42.14
+33.9%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥19.722
Aug ’24CN¥32.83
CN¥42.14
+28.4%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥22.492
Jul ’24CN¥35.84
CN¥42.14
+17.6%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥24.602
Jun ’24CN¥43.78
CN¥42.14
-3.7%
27.1%CN¥53.57CN¥30.71CN¥25.582
May ’24CN¥40.34
CN¥39.98
-0.9%
23.2%CN¥49.24CN¥30.71CN¥26.922
Apr ’24CN¥62.00
CN¥39.98
-35.5%
23.2%CN¥49.24CN¥30.71CN¥30.402
Mar ’24CN¥47.10
CN¥39.98
-15.1%
23.2%CN¥49.24CN¥30.71CN¥36.532
Feb ’24CN¥31.75
CN¥39.98
+25.9%
23.2%CN¥49.24CN¥30.71CN¥21.822
Jan ’24CN¥26.90
CN¥39.98
+48.6%
23.2%CN¥49.24CN¥30.71CN¥36.162
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 3 Analysts
CN¥43.11
Fair Value
44.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
3
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/01/10 08:40
End of Day Share Price 2025/01/10 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Hangzhou Arcvideo Technology Co., Ltd. is covered by 4 analysts. 2 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Zhihao WangChina International Capital Corporation Limited
Zeyuan YangCitic Securities Co., Ltd.
Chunsheng XieHuatai Research