Stock Analysis

Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd (SZSE:300139) Stock Rockets 35% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

SZSE:300139
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The Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock Co., Ltd (SZSE:300139) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 60% in the last year.

Since its price has surged higher, Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 18.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 6.2x and even P/S lower than 3x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

View our latest analysis for Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300139 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 2nd 2024

What Does Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's Recent Performance Look Like?

It looks like revenue growth has deserted Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock recently, which is not something to boast about. Perhaps the market believes that revenue growth will improve markedly over current levels, inflating the P/S ratio. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's Revenue Growth Trending?

Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Although pleasingly revenue has lifted 34% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been great for the company, but investors will want to ask why it has slowed to such an extent.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's alarming that Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's P/S

The strong share price surge has lead to Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock's P/S soaring as well. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

The fact that Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock you should be aware of.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing XIAOCHENG Technology Stock might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.