Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd (SZSE:002156) Is Using Debt Extensively

SZSE:002156
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Tongfu Microelectronics Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002156) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd

What Is Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of March 2024 Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd had CN¥14.3b of debt, an increase on CN¥13.1b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥4.48b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥9.82b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:002156 Debt to Equity History July 5th 2024

How Strong Is Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd's Balance Sheet?

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd had liabilities of CN¥12.2b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥8.05b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CN¥4.48b in cash and CN¥4.47b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥11.2b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

This deficit isn't so bad because Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd is worth CN¥32.1b, and thus could probably raise enough capital to shore up its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

While Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd has a quite reasonable net debt to EBITDA multiple of 2.1, its interest cover seems weak, at 2.2. In large part that's it has so much depreciation and amortisation. While companies often boast that these charges are non-cash, most such businesses will therefore require ongoing investment (that is not expensed.) In any case, it's safe to say the company has meaningful debt. Importantly, Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd grew its EBIT by 36% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and interest cover definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its EBIT growth rate tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. We think that Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. That's not necessarily a bad thing, since leverage can boost returns on equity, but it is something to be aware of. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd (1 is significant!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Tongfu MicroelectronicsLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.