Stock Analysis

3Peak Incorporated's (SHSE:688536) 26% Dip Still Leaving Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Its P/SRatio

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SHSE:688536

3Peak Incorporated (SHSE:688536) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 26% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 34% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, 3Peak may still be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 9.6x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios under 6.5x and even P/S lower than 3x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

View our latest analysis for 3Peak

SHSE:688536 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 9th 2025

What Does 3Peak's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times haven't been great for 3Peak as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is high because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance will improve markedly. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on 3Peak.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For 3Peak?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as high as 3Peak's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Still, the latest three year period was better as it's delivered a decent 13% overall rise in revenue. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing revenue over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 35% each year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 64% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's alarming that 3Peak's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On 3Peak's P/S

There's still some elevation in 3Peak's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Despite analysts forecasting some poorer-than-industry revenue growth figures for 3Peak, this doesn't appear to be impacting the P/S in the slightest. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for 3Peak with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if 3Peak might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.