Stock Analysis

Shareholders Can Be Confident That Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's (SZSE:301110) Earnings Are High Quality

SZSE:301110
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Qingmu Digital Technology Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301110) just reported healthy earnings but the stock price didn't move much. Our analysis suggests that investors might be missing some promising details.

Check out our latest analysis for Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd

earnings-and-revenue-history
SZSE:301110 Earnings and Revenue History April 30th 2024

A Closer Look At Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd has an accrual ratio of 0.28 for the year to March 2024. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. Even though it reported a profit of CN¥66.5m, a look at free cash flow indicates it actually burnt through CN¥48m in the last year. We saw that FCF was CN¥105m a year ago though, so Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd has at least been able to generate positive FCF in the past. However, that's not all there is to consider. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio. One positive for Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd shareholders is that it's accrual ratio was significantly better last year, providing reason to believe that it may return to stronger cash conversion in the future. As a result, some shareholders may be looking for stronger cash conversion in the current year.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's profit suffered from unusual items, which reduced profit by CN¥17m in the last twelve months. In the case where this was a non-cash charge it would have made it easier to have high cash conversion, so it's surprising that the accrual ratio tells a different story. It's never great to see unusual items costing the company profits, but on the upside, things might improve sooner rather than later. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And, after all, that's exactly what the accounting terminology implies. If Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd doesn't see those unusual expenses repeat, then all else being equal we'd expect its profit to increase over the coming year.

Our Take On Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's Profit Performance

In conclusion, Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's accrual ratio suggests that its statutory earnings are not backed by cash flow, even though unusual items weighed on profit. Based on these factors, it's hard to tell if Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd's profits are a reasonable reflection of its underlying profitability. If you want to do dive deeper into Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. To help with this, we've discovered 4 warning signs (2 are significant!) that you ought to be aware of before buying any shares in Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd.

Our examination of Qingmu Digital TechnologyLtd has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.