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- SZSE:002419
Rainbow Digital Commercial (SZSE:002419) Is Paying Out A Larger Dividend Than Last Year
Rainbow Digital Commercial Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002419) has announced that it will be increasing its dividend from last year's comparable payment on the 26th of April to CN¥0.16. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 3.2%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Rainbow Digital Commercial
Rainbow Digital Commercial's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. The last payment made up 83% of earnings, but cash flows were much higher. Since the dividend is just paying out cash to shareholders, we care more about the cash payout ratio from which we can see plenty is being left over for reinvestment in the business.
The next year is set to see EPS grow by 34.1%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 59%, which would make us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend, despite the levels currently being quite high.
Dividend Volatility
Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. The annual payment during the last 10 years was CN¥0.22 in 2014, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CN¥0.16. Doing the maths, this is a decline of about 3.1% per year. A company that decreases its dividend over time generally isn't what we are looking for.
Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky
With a relatively unstable dividend, it's even more important to evaluate if earnings per share is growing, which could point to a growing dividend in the future. Earnings per share has been sinking by 24% over the last five years. Dividend payments are likely to come under some pressure unless EPS can pull out of the nosedive it is in. On the bright side, earnings are predicted to gain some ground over the next year, but until this turns into a pattern we wouldn't be feeling too comfortable.
Our Thoughts On Rainbow Digital Commercial's Dividend
In summary, while it's always good to see the dividend being raised, we don't think Rainbow Digital Commercial's payments are rock solid. The company is generating plenty of cash, which could maintain the dividend for a while, but the track record hasn't been great. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
Market movements attest to how highly valued a consistent dividend policy is compared to one which is more unpredictable. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For instance, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Rainbow Digital Commercial that investors should take into consideration. Is Rainbow Digital Commercial not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002419
Rainbow Digital Commercial
Operates a chain of department stores, shopping centers, and supermarkets in China.
Fair value with mediocre balance sheet.