Stock Analysis

China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001979) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

SZSE:001979
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 12.7x China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings Co., Ltd. (SZSE:001979) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 59x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

Recent times have been advantageous for China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings as its earnings have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/E. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:001979 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 30th 2024
Keen to find out how analysts think China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.

If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 59%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen a very unpleasant 52% drop in EPS in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 18% per year as estimated by the analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 21% each year, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

The Key Takeaway

It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 3 warning signs for China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings you should be aware of, and 1 of them is significant.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China Merchants Shekou Industrial Zone Holdings is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.