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CCCG Real Estate Company Limited (SZSE:000736) Might Not Be As Mispriced As It Looks After Plunging 29%
To the annoyance of some shareholders, CCCG Real Estate Company Limited (SZSE:000736) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 40% in that time.
Following the heavy fall in price, CCCG Real Estate may be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.1x, since almost half of all companies in the Real Estate industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 2.3x and even P/S higher than 6x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for CCCG Real Estate
How Has CCCG Real Estate Performed Recently?
For instance, CCCG Real Estate's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on CCCG Real Estate will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for CCCG Real Estate, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For CCCG Real Estate?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as CCCG Real Estate's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 6.3%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 217% in total over the last three years. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is only predicted to deliver 11% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that CCCG Real Estate's P/S isn't as high compared to that of its industry peers. It looks like most investors are not convinced the company can maintain its recent growth rates.
What Does CCCG Real Estate's P/S Mean For Investors?
Having almost fallen off a cliff, CCCG Real Estate's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We're very surprised to see CCCG Real Estate currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see robust revenue growth that outpaces the industry, we presume that there are notable underlying risks to the company's future performance, which is exerting downward pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for CCCG Real Estate you should be aware of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000736
CCCG Real Estate
Develops, operates, and sells real estate properties in China.