Stock Analysis

Concerns Surrounding Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's (SHSE:600266) Performance

SHSE:600266
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Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600266) healthy profit numbers didn't contain any surprises for investors. We think this is due to investors looking beyond the statutory profits and being concerned with what they see.

Check out our latest analysis for Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development

earnings-and-revenue-history
SHSE:600266 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development has an accrual ratio of -0.12 for the year to September 2024. That indicates that its free cash flow was a fair bit more than its statutory profit. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN¥7.0b in the last year, which was a lot more than its statutory profit of CN¥565.4m. Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's free cash flow improved over the last year, which is generally good to see. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

How Do Unusual Items Influence Profit?

While the accrual ratio might bode well, we also note that Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's profit was boosted by unusual items worth CN¥449m in the last twelve months. While we like to see profit increases, we tend to be a little more cautious when unusual items have made a big contribution. When we analysed the vast majority of listed companies worldwide, we found that significant unusual items are often not repeated. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to September 2024. All else being equal, this would likely have the effect of making the statutory profit a poor guide to underlying earnings power.

Our Take On Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's Profit Performance

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's profits got a boost from unusual items, which indicates they might not be sustained and yet its accrual ratio still indicated solid cash conversion, which is promising. Having considered these factors, we don't think Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development's statutory profits give an overly harsh view of the business. If you want to do dive deeper into Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development, you'd also look into what risks it is currently facing. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development you should be aware of.

In this article we've looked at a number of factors that can impair the utility of profit numbers, as a guide to a business. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SHSE:600266

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development

Beijing Urban Construction Investment & Development Co., Ltd.

Very undervalued with moderate growth potential.

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