Pinning Down Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300267) P/S Is Difficult Right Now
There wouldn't be many who think Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd's (SZSE:300267) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3x is worth a mention when the median P/S for the Pharmaceuticals industry in China is similar at about 3.2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical
What Does Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?
Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. This isn't what shareholders were looking for as it means they've been left with a 22% decline in revenue over the last three years in total. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 43% shows it's an unpleasant look.
In light of this, it's somewhat alarming that Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical's P/S?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We find it unexpected that Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards in the context of growing industry forecasts, it'd make sense to expect a possible share price decline on the horizon, sending the moderate P/S lower. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical (of which 2 are a bit concerning!) you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:300267
Hunan Er-Kang Pharmaceutical
Manufactures and sells APIs, finished drug products, and pharmaceutical excipients in China and internationally.
Adequate balance sheet and fair value.