Stock Analysis

Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:300147) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 38%

SZSE:300147
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Xiangxue Pharmaceutical Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300147) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 38% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 21% over that time.

In spite of the firm bounce in price, Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd may still be sending buy signals at present with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x, considering almost half of all companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.3x and even P/S higher than 6x aren't out of the ordinary. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300147 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry March 12th 2024

How Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 13% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 34% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 18% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

With this in mind, we understand why Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

What We Can Learn From Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S?

The latest share price surge wasn't enough to lift Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd's P/S close to the industry median. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Given the current circumstances, it seems unlikely that the share price will experience any significant movement in either direction in the near future if recent medium-term revenue trends persist.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Xiangxue PharmaceuticalLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.