Stock Analysis

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300142) P/S

SZSE:300142
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With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 5.2x in the Biotechs industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Walvax Biotechnology Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300142) P/S ratio of 4.9x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

Check out our latest analysis for Walvax Biotechnology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300142 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 24th 2024

What Does Walvax Biotechnology's Recent Performance Look Like?

While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Walvax Biotechnology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.

Keen to find out how analysts think Walvax Biotechnology's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/S like Walvax Biotechnology's is when the company's growth is tracking the industry closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 31% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 9.0% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 8.8% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 226%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we find it interesting that Walvax Biotechnology is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of revenue growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Given that Walvax Biotechnology's revenue growth projections are relatively subdued in comparison to the wider industry, it comes as a surprise to see it trading at its current P/S ratio. At present, we aren't confident in the P/S as the predicted future revenues aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Circumstances like this present a risk to current and prospective investors who may see share prices fall if the low revenue growth impacts the sentiment.

We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 2 warning signs for Walvax Biotechnology that you need to be mindful of.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Walvax Biotechnology might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.