Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002603) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity
With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 3.1x in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002603) P/S ratio, which comes in at about the same. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.
See our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical
How Has Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Performed Recently?
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to strengthen positively, which has kept the P/S from falling. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical will help you uncover what's on the horizon.How Is Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 35%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 12% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 30% as estimated by the four analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 17%, which is noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.
What We Can Learn From Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's P/S?
Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
We've established that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical currently trades on a lower than expected P/S since its forecasted revenue growth is higher than the wider industry. Perhaps uncertainty in the revenue forecasts are what's keeping the P/S ratio consistent with the rest of the industry. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SZSE:002603
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.