Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002603) Business Is Trailing The Industry But Its Shares Aren't
It's not a stretch to say that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002603) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" for companies in the Pharmaceuticals industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 3.6x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.
Check out our latest analysis for Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical
What Does Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's Recent Performance Look Like?
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the market is expecting its poor revenue performance to improve, keeping the P/S from dropping. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 38% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 22% in total over the last three years. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 42% as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 209% growth forecast for the broader industry.
With this information, we find it interesting that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical is trading at a fairly similar P/S compared to the industry. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What Does Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's P/S Mean For Investors?
It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
When you consider that Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical's revenue growth estimates are fairly muted compared to the broader industry, it's easy to see why we consider it unexpected to be trading at its current P/S ratio. When we see companies with a relatively weaker revenue outlook compared to the industry, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/S lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 3 warning signs for Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical (1 is significant!) that you need to be mindful of.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002603
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical
Shijiazhuang Yiling Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.