There's Reason For Concern Over Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical., Ltd's (SHSE:600436) Price
There wouldn't be many who think Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical., Ltd's (SHSE:600436) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 39.4x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 38x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
Recent times have been pleasing for Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical as its earnings have risen in spite of the market's earnings going into reverse. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical
Does Growth Match The P/E?
In order to justify its P/E ratio, Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical would need to produce growth that's similar to the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 8.8% gain to the company's bottom line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 31% overall rise in EPS, aided somewhat by its short-term performance. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been superb for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the nine analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 9.1% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 37% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.
In light of this, it's curious that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are less bearish than analysts indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
The Final Word
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its forecast growth is lower than the wider market. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:600436
Zhangzhou Pientzehuang Pharmaceutical
Engages in the manufacture and sale of Chinese medicines under the Pien Tze Huang brand in China and internationally.
Flawless balance sheet with proven track record and pays a dividend.