Shanghai Kai Kai Industry Company Limited's (SHSE:600272) 31% Jump Shows Its Popularity With Investors
Shanghai Kai Kai Industry Company Limited (SHSE:600272) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 18% is also fairly reasonable.
Since its price has surged higher, Shanghai Kai Kai Industry may be sending very bearish signals at the moment with a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 50.5x, since almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios under 27x and even P/E's lower than 16x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/E.
With earnings growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Shanghai Kai Kai Industry has been doing very well. The P/E is probably high because investors think this strong earnings growth will be enough to outperform the broader market in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders might be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Shanghai Kai Kai Industry
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Shanghai Kai Kai Industry, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 31% last year. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 288% overall rise in EPS, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Comparing that to the market, which is only predicted to deliver 36% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is stronger based on recent medium-term annualised earnings results.
In light of this, it's understandable that Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting this strong growth to continue and are willing to pay more for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's P/E?
Shanghai Kai Kai Industry's P/E is flying high just like its stock has during the last month. While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Shanghai Kai Kai Industry maintains its high P/E on the strength of its recent three-year growth being higher than the wider market forecast, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in earnings isn't great enough to justify a lower P/E ratio. If recent medium-term earnings trends continue, it's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Having said that, be aware Shanghai Kai Kai Industry is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis, you should know about.
You might be able to find a better investment than Shanghai Kai Kai Industry. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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About SHSE:600272
Shanghai Kai Kai Industry
Engages in the production, wholesale, and retail of shirts, t-shirts, and sweaters, and Chinese and Western medicines in China.
Proven track record with adequate balance sheet.