Stock Analysis

Is Zhejiang Medicine (SHSE:600216) A Risky Investment?

SHSE:600216
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. Importantly, Zhejiang Medicine Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600216) does carry debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Zhejiang Medicine

How Much Debt Does Zhejiang Medicine Carry?

As you can see below, Zhejiang Medicine had CN„808.7m of debt, at June 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, its balance sheet shows it holds CN„1.82b in cash, so it actually has CN„1.02b net cash.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600216 Debt to Equity History September 14th 2024

A Look At Zhejiang Medicine's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Zhejiang Medicine had liabilities of CN„2.13b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN„503.3m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting this, it had CN„1.82b in cash and CN„1.75b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So it can boast CN„943.4m more liquid assets than total liabilities.

This short term liquidity is a sign that Zhejiang Medicine could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Succinctly put, Zhejiang Medicine boasts net cash, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

The modesty of its debt load may become crucial for Zhejiang Medicine if management cannot prevent a repeat of the 41% cut to EBIT over the last year. When it comes to paying off debt, falling earnings are no more useful than sugary sodas are for your health. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Medicine can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. Zhejiang Medicine may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Medicine saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Summing Up

While we empathize with investors who find debt concerning, you should keep in mind that Zhejiang Medicine has net cash of CN„1.02b, as well as more liquid assets than liabilities. So while Zhejiang Medicine does not have a great balance sheet, it's certainly not too bad. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Zhejiang Medicine has 3 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.