Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 10.7x Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media Corporation Limited (SHSE:601928) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 35x and even P/E's higher than 67x are not unusual. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to degrade substantially, possibly more than the market, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media.How Is Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's Growth Trending?
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.
If we review the last year of earnings growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 19%. As a result, it also grew EPS by 10% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has actually done a good job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the three analysts covering the company suggest earnings growth is heading into negative territory, declining 24% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 38% growth , that's a disappointing outcome.
In light of this, it's understandable that Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's P/E would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media's analyst forecasts revealed that its outlook for shrinking earnings is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media (1 is a bit concerning!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601928
Jiangsu Phoenix Publishing & Media
Engages in the editing, publishing, and distribution of books, newspapers, electronic publications, and audio-visual products in China.
Solid track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.