Stock Analysis

Nanjing COSMOS Chemical (SZSE:300856) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of

SZSE:300856
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Despite announcing strong earnings, Nanjing COSMOS Chemical Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300856) stock was sluggish. Our analysis uncovered some concerning factors that we believe the market might be paying attention to.

Check out our latest analysis for Nanjing COSMOS Chemical

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SZSE:300856 Earnings and Revenue History August 24th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's Earnings

As finance nerds would already know, the accrual ratio from cashflow is a key measure for assessing how well a company's free cash flow (FCF) matches its profit. To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. That is not intended to imply we should worry about a positive accrual ratio, but it's worth noting where the accrual ratio is rather high. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.

Over the twelve months to June 2024, Nanjing COSMOS Chemical recorded an accrual ratio of 0.25. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, which is hardly a good thing. In fact, it had free cash flow of CN„308m in the last year, which was a lot less than its statutory profit of CN„804.5m. At this point we should mention that Nanjing COSMOS Chemical did manage to increase its free cash flow in the last twelve months

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's Profit Performance

Nanjing COSMOS Chemical didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Because of this, we think that it may be that Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Our analysis shows 2 warning signs for Nanjing COSMOS Chemical (1 is a bit unpleasant!) and we strongly recommend you look at these before investing.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Nanjing COSMOS Chemical's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with high insider ownership.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Nanjing COSMOS Chemical might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.