Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300727) 27% Share Price Plunge Could Signal Some Risk

Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300727) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 27% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 42% in that time.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 34.3x might still make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 29x and even P/E's below 18x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining earnings compare poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth on average. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

See our latest analysis for Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials.

Does Growth Match The High P/E?

Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver solid growth, and importantly, perform better than the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 9.9%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 50% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the two analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 22% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 36%, which is noticeably more attractive.

In light of this, it's alarming that Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' P/E sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects, but the analyst cohort is not so confident this will happen. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Final Word

Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' P/E hasn't come down all the way after its stock plunged. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are increasingly uncomfortable with the high P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. This places shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit concerning) we think you should know about.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Ningbo Runhe High-Tech Materials. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.