Stock Analysis

Market Might Still Lack Some Conviction On Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300409) Even After 33% Share Price Boost

SZSE:300409
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Guangdong Dowstone Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300409) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 33% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Not all shareholders will be feeling jubilant, since the share price is still down a very disappointing 11% in the last twelve months.

Although its price has surged higher, Guangdong Dowstone Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.1x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.2x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Guangdong Dowstone Technology

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300409 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 12th 2024

How Guangdong Dowstone Technology Has Been Performing

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Guangdong Dowstone Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Guangdong Dowstone Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Guangdong Dowstone Technology, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

Guangdong Dowstone Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 4.5% decrease to the company's top line. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 156% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 20% over the next year, materially lower than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's peculiar that Guangdong Dowstone Technology's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders believe the recent performance has exceeded its limits and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.

What Does Guangdong Dowstone Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?

Guangdong Dowstone Technology's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

We're very surprised to see Guangdong Dowstone Technology currently trading on a much lower than expected P/S since its recent three-year growth is higher than the wider industry forecast. When we see strong revenue with faster-than-industry growth, we assume there are some significant underlying risks to the company's ability to make money which is applying downwards pressure on the P/S ratio. At least price risks look to be very low if recent medium-term revenue trends continue, but investors seem to think future revenue could see a lot of volatility.

The company's balance sheet is another key area for risk analysis. Our free balance sheet analysis for Guangdong Dowstone Technology with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.