What Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002256) 34% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You
Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002256) shareholders are no doubt pleased to see that the share price has bounced 34% in the last month, although it is still struggling to make up recently lost ground. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 19% over that time.
After such a large jump in price, given around half the companies in China's Chemicals industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.9x, you may consider Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy as a stock to avoid entirely with its 14.7x P/S ratio. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy
How Has Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy Performed Recently?
It looks like revenue growth has deserted Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy recently, which is not something to boast about. It might be that many are expecting an improvement to the uninspiring revenue performance over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's Revenue Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.
If we review the last year of revenue, the company posted a result that saw barely any deviation from a year ago. Whilst it's an improvement, it wasn't enough to get the company out of the hole it was in, with revenue down 21% overall from three years ago. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 25% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Final Word
The strong share price surge has lead to Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy's P/S soaring as well. Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:002256
Shenzhen Sunrise New Energy
Engages in the research and development, manufacture, and marketing of new energy and fine chemicals in China and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet very low.