Stock Analysis

Revenues Working Against Hongbaoli Group Corporation, Ltd.'s (SZSE:002165) Share Price

SZSE:002165
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You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1x Hongbaoli Group Corporation, Ltd. (SZSE:002165) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Chemicals companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 4x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

See our latest analysis for Hongbaoli Group Corporation

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002165 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry July 5th 2024

What Does Hongbaoli Group Corporation's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Hongbaoli Group Corporation has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue at a solid pace. It might be that many expect the respectable revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the P/S. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hongbaoli Group Corporation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Hongbaoli Group Corporation's Revenue Growth Trending?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hongbaoli Group Corporation would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 13%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 9.7% overall drop in revenue. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 24% shows it's an unpleasant look.

In light of this, it's understandable that Hongbaoli Group Corporation's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

The Bottom Line On Hongbaoli Group Corporation's P/S

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of Hongbaoli Group Corporation revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

Having said that, be aware Hongbaoli Group Corporation is showing 3 warning signs in our investment analysis, and 2 of those are potentially serious.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hongbaoli Group Corporation, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hongbaoli Group Corporation might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.