Stock Analysis

Yunnan Tin (SZSE:000960) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly

SZSE:000960
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. We note that Yunnan Tin Company Limited (SZSE:000960) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Yunnan Tin

What Is Yunnan Tin's Debt?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Yunnan Tin had CN¥13.4b of debt in March 2024, down from CN¥15.4b, one year before. On the flip side, it has CN¥2.46b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥10.9b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SZSE:000960 Debt to Equity History July 27th 2024

A Look At Yunnan Tin's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Yunnan Tin had liabilities of CN¥8.32b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥9.41b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥2.46b and CN¥1.60b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥13.7b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥22.4b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Yunnan Tin's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With net debt to EBITDA of 3.1 Yunnan Tin has a fairly noticeable amount of debt. But the high interest coverage of 7.2 suggests it can easily service that debt. Notably, Yunnan Tin's EBIT launched higher than Elon Musk, gaining a whopping 101% on last year. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Yunnan Tin's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So the logical step is to look at the proportion of that EBIT that is matched by actual free cash flow. During the last three years, Yunnan Tin generated free cash flow amounting to a very robust 81% of its EBIT, more than we'd expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Yunnan Tin's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But truth be told we feel its net debt to EBITDA does undermine this impression a bit. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Yunnan Tin takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Yunnan Tin you should know about.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.