Stock Analysis

Hunan Valin Steel (SZSE:000932) Will Want To Turn Around Its Return Trends

SZSE:000932
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What trends should we look for it we want to identify stocks that can multiply in value over the long term? One common approach is to try and find a company with returns on capital employed (ROCE) that are increasing, in conjunction with a growing amount of capital employed. Ultimately, this demonstrates that it's a business that is reinvesting profits at increasing rates of return. However, after briefly looking over the numbers, we don't think Hunan Valin Steel (SZSE:000932) has the makings of a multi-bagger going forward, but let's have a look at why that may be.

Understanding Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. The formula for this calculation on Hunan Valin Steel is:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.071 = CN¥6.0b ÷ (CN¥139b - CN¥55b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Hunan Valin Steel has an ROCE of 7.1%. On its own that's a low return on capital but it's in line with the industry's average returns of 6.7%.

View our latest analysis for Hunan Valin Steel

roce
SZSE:000932 Return on Capital Employed July 22nd 2024

In the above chart we have measured Hunan Valin Steel's prior ROCE against its prior performance, but the future is arguably more important. If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free analyst report for Hunan Valin Steel .

What Can We Tell From Hunan Valin Steel's ROCE Trend?

On the surface, the trend of ROCE at Hunan Valin Steel doesn't inspire confidence. To be more specific, ROCE has fallen from 33% over the last five years. However it looks like Hunan Valin Steel might be reinvesting for long term growth because while capital employed has increased, the company's sales haven't changed much in the last 12 months. It's worth keeping an eye on the company's earnings from here on to see if these investments do end up contributing to the bottom line.

On a related note, Hunan Valin Steel has decreased its current liabilities to 40% of total assets. So we could link some of this to the decrease in ROCE. What's more, this can reduce some aspects of risk to the business because now the company's suppliers or short-term creditors are funding less of its operations. Some would claim this reduces the business' efficiency at generating ROCE since it is now funding more of the operations with its own money.

Our Take On Hunan Valin Steel's ROCE

To conclude, we've found that Hunan Valin Steel is reinvesting in the business, but returns have been falling. And investors may be recognizing these trends since the stock has only returned a total of 25% to shareholders over the last five years. So if you're looking for a multi-bagger, the underlying trends indicate you may have better chances elsewhere.

One more thing to note, we've identified 1 warning sign with Hunan Valin Steel and understanding this should be part of your investment process.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Hunan Valin Steel might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.