Stock Analysis

YONFER Agricultural Technology's (SZSE:000902) earnings growth rate lags the 13% CAGR delivered to shareholders

SZSE:000902
Source: Shutterstock

Generally speaking the aim of active stock picking is to find companies that provide returns that are superior to the market average. And in our experience, buying the right stocks can give your wealth a significant boost. For example, long term YONFER Agricultural Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000902) shareholders have enjoyed a 70% share price rise over the last half decade, well in excess of the market return of around 7.3% (not including dividends). On the other hand, the more recent gains haven't been so impressive, with shareholders gaining just 16%, including dividends.

Although YONFER Agricultural Technology has shed CN¥526m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.

Check out our latest analysis for YONFER Agricultural Technology

To quote Buffett, 'Ships will sail around the world but the Flat Earth Society will flourish. There will continue to be wide discrepancies between price and value in the marketplace...' One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.

Over half a decade, YONFER Agricultural Technology managed to grow its earnings per share at 13% a year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 11% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Rather, the share price has approximately tracked EPS growth.

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:000902 Earnings Per Share Growth February 6th 2025

We know that YONFER Agricultural Technology has improved its bottom line lately, but is it going to grow revenue? Check if analysts think YONFER Agricultural Technology will grow revenue in the future.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, YONFER Agricultural Technology's TSR for the last 5 years was 86%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

YONFER Agricultural Technology shareholders are up 16% for the year (even including dividends). But that return falls short of the market. The silver lining is that the gain was actually better than the average annual return of 13% per year over five year. This suggests the company might be improving over time. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand YONFER Agricultural Technology better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for YONFER Agricultural Technology you should know about.

Of course YONFER Agricultural Technology may not be the best stock to buy. So you may wish to see this free collection of growth stocks.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SZSE:000902

YONFER Agricultural Technology

Engages in the research, development, production, and marketing of fertilizers in China.

Solid track record with excellent balance sheet.

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