Luxi Chemical Group (SZSE:000830) Seems To Use Debt Quite Sensibly
Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. As with many other companies Luxi Chemical Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000830) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.
View our latest analysis for Luxi Chemical Group
What Is Luxi Chemical Group's Net Debt?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that Luxi Chemical Group had CN¥13.2b of debt in June 2024, down from CN¥14.2b, one year before. However, it does have CN¥493.2m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥12.7b.
How Strong Is Luxi Chemical Group's Balance Sheet?
According to the last reported balance sheet, Luxi Chemical Group had liabilities of CN¥12.1b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥5.41b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥493.2m as well as receivables valued at CN¥117.8m due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥16.9b.
This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥23.0b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Luxi Chemical Group's use of debt. This suggests shareholders would be heavily diluted if the company needed to shore up its balance sheet in a hurry.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Luxi Chemical Group has a debt to EBITDA ratio of 2.5, which signals significant debt, but is still pretty reasonable for most types of business. However, its interest coverage of 14.7 is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Pleasingly, Luxi Chemical Group is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 215% gain in the last twelve months. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Luxi Chemical Group's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. In the last three years, Luxi Chemical Group's free cash flow amounted to 46% of its EBIT, less than we'd expect. That's not great, when it comes to paying down debt.
Our View
Both Luxi Chemical Group's ability to to cover its interest expense with its EBIT and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. Having said that, its level of total liabilities somewhat sensitizes us to potential future risks to the balance sheet. Considering this range of data points, we think Luxi Chemical Group is in a good position to manage its debt levels. But a word of caution: we think debt levels are high enough to justify ongoing monitoring. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Luxi Chemical Group is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis , you should know about...
When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000830
Luxi Chemical Group
Manufactures and sells chemical and fertilizer products.
Very undervalued with proven track record.