Stock Analysis

MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co., Ltd (SZSE:000815) Stock Rockets 27% As Investors Are Less Pessimistic Than Expected

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SZSE:000815

Despite an already strong run, MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment Co., Ltd (SZSE:000815) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 27% in the last thirty days. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 13% is also fairly reasonable.

Since its price has surged higher, when almost half of the companies in China's Forestry industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 1.5x, you may consider MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment as a stock not worth researching with its 8.7x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment

SZSE:000815 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 28th 2024

What Does MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment would need to produce outstanding growth that's well in excess of the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 7.1%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 15% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 15% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this information, we find it concerning that MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Final Word

The strong share price surge has lead to MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment's P/S soaring as well. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

We've established that MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, investors will have a hard time accepting the share price as fair value.

You always need to take note of risks, for example - MCC Meili Cloud Computing Industry Investment has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.