Investors Aren't Buying Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd's (SZSE:000792) Earnings
With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 16.4x Qinghai Salt Lake Industry Co.,Ltd (SZSE:000792) may be sending very bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 33x and even P/E's higher than 64x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. It seems that many are expecting the dismal earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. You'd much rather the company wasn't bleeding earnings if you still believe in the business. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 40% decrease to the company's bottom line. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by an impressive 54% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing earnings over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the seven analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 4.2% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 38%, which is noticeably more attractive.
In light of this, it's understandable that Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd's P/E sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
We've established that Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider market, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd with six simple checks.
You might be able to find a better investment than Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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Discover if Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000792
Qinghai Salt Lake IndustryLtd
Manufactures and sells potash fertilizers in China.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.