Stock Analysis
Is Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry (SZSE:000422) Using Too Much Debt?
Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000422) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry
How Much Debt Does Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry Carry?
You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that as of September 2024 Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry had CN¥11.1b of debt, an increase on CN¥8.43b, over one year. However, it also had CN¥3.93b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.19b.
A Look At Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry had liabilities of CN¥8.19b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥7.89b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥3.93b and CN¥519.4m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥11.6b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
This is a mountain of leverage relative to its market capitalization of CN¥14.5b. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.
We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's net debt is 3.3 times its EBITDA, which is a significant but still reasonable amount of leverage. However, its interest coverage of 1k is very high, suggesting that the interest expense on the debt is currently quite low. Pleasingly, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry is growing its EBIT faster than former Australian PM Bob Hawke downs a yard glass, boasting a 207% gain in the last twelve months. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Considering the last three years, Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry actually recorded a cash outflow, overall. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.
Our View
We feel some trepidation about Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's difficulty conversion of EBIT to free cash flow, but we've got positives to focus on, too. To wit both its interest cover and EBIT growth rate were encouraging signs. We think that Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry's debt does make it a bit risky, after considering the aforementioned data points together. Not all risk is bad, as it can boost share price returns if it pays off, but this debt risk is worth keeping in mind. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry you should be aware of, and 2 of them are concerning.
At the end of the day, it's often better to focus on companies that are free from net debt. You can access our special list of such companies (all with a track record of profit growth). It's free.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:000422
Hubei Yihua Chemical Industry
Manufactures and sells chemical fertilizers and products in China and internationally.