Jinhong GasLtd (SHSE:688106) Posted Healthy Earnings But There Are Some Other Factors To Be Aware Of
Despite announcing strong earnings, Jinhong Gas Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:688106) stock was sluggish. We did some digging and found some worrying underlying problems.
See our latest analysis for Jinhong GasLtd
Examining Cashflow Against Jinhong GasLtd's Earnings
In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to December 2023, Jinhong GasLtd recorded an accrual ratio of 0.31. We can therefore deduce that its free cash flow fell well short of covering its statutory profit, suggesting we might want to think twice before putting a lot of weight on the latter. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥609m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥315.0m. Coming off the back of negative free cash flow last year, we imagine some shareholders might wonder if its cash burn of CN¥609m, this year, indicates high risk.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Jinhong GasLtd's Profit Performance
Jinhong GasLtd's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Because of this, we think that it may be that Jinhong GasLtd's statutory profits are better than its underlying earnings power. Nonetheless, it's still worth noting that its earnings per share have grown at 38% over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. When we did our research, we found 2 warning signs for Jinhong GasLtd (1 is a bit unpleasant!) that we believe deserve your full attention.
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Jinhong GasLtd's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:688106
Jinhong GasLtd
Produces and sells bulk, special, and natural gas products in China.
Undervalued with high growth potential.