A Piece Of The Puzzle Missing From Hoshine Silicon Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603260) Share Price
Hoshine Silicon Industry Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:603260) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 20.8x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 31x and even P/E's above 57x are quite common. However, the P/E might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Hoshine Silicon Industry has been struggling lately as its earnings have declined faster than most other companies. The P/E is probably low because investors think this poor earnings performance isn't going to improve at all. If you still like the company, you'd want its earnings trajectory to turn around before making any decisions. If not, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
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The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as low as Hoshine Silicon Industry's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 66% decrease to the company's bottom line. Even so, admirably EPS has lifted 130% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 51% during the coming year according to the eight analysts following the company. With the market only predicted to deliver 41%, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
With this information, we find it odd that Hoshine Silicon Industry is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It looks like most investors are not convinced at all that the company can achieve future growth expectations.
The Key Takeaway
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
Our examination of Hoshine Silicon Industry's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see a strong earnings outlook with faster-than-market growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears many are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
We don't want to rain on the parade too much, but we did also find 4 warning signs for Hoshine Silicon Industry (2 don't sit too well with us!) that you need to be mindful of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Hoshine Silicon Industry, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:603260
Hoshine Silicon Industry
Engages in the production and sale of silicon-based materials in China and internationally.
Reasonable growth potential low.