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Henan Mingtai Al.Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601677) Low P/E No Reason For Excitement
Henan Mingtai Al.Industrial Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:601677) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 11.7x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 32x and even P/E's above 60x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.
See our latest analysis for Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 21%. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 17% overall. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 5.6% per year as estimated by the five analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 25% per annum growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we can see why Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Key Takeaway
While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd that you should be aware of.
If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601677
Henan Mingtai Al.IndustrialLtd
Produces and sells aluminum products in China.
Excellent balance sheet and fair value.