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Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking (SHSE:601015) Using Debt In A Risky Way?
Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, Shaanxi Heimao Coking Co., Ltd. (SHSE:601015) does carry debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?
What Risk Does Debt Bring?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. When we think about a company's use of debt, we first look at cash and debt together.
See our latest analysis for Shaanxi Heimao Coking
What Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's Debt?
As you can see below, at the end of March 2024, Shaanxi Heimao Coking had CN¥4.94b of debt, up from CN¥2.90b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥1.78b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥3.16b.
How Strong Is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's Balance Sheet?
The latest balance sheet data shows that Shaanxi Heimao Coking had liabilities of CN¥9.32b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥2.48b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥1.78b and CN¥572.6m worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥9.45b.
When you consider that this deficiency exceeds the company's CN¥6.96b market capitalization, you might well be inclined to review the balance sheet intently. In the scenario where the company had to clean up its balance sheet quickly, it seems likely shareholders would suffer extensive dilution. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Shaanxi Heimao Coking's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.
In the last year Shaanxi Heimao Coking had a loss before interest and tax, and actually shrunk its revenue by 22%, to CN¥18b. That makes us nervous, to say the least.
Caveat Emptor
While Shaanxi Heimao Coking's falling revenue is about as heartwarming as a wet blanket, arguably its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) loss is even less appealing. To be specific the EBIT loss came in at CN¥592m. When we look at that alongside the significant liabilities, we're not particularly confident about the company. We'd want to see some strong near-term improvements before getting too interested in the stock. Not least because it had negative free cash flow of CN¥568m over the last twelve months. That means it's on the risky side of things. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Shaanxi Heimao Coking .
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SHSE:601015
Imperfect balance sheet and overvalued.