Stock Analysis

Huaxin Cement (SHSE:600801) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

SHSE:600801
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Huaxin Cement Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600801) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, debt can be an important tool in businesses, particularly capital heavy businesses. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Huaxin Cement

How Much Debt Does Huaxin Cement Carry?

As you can see below, Huaxin Cement had CN¥14.0b of debt, at March 2024, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it also had CN¥6.33b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥7.62b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600801 Debt to Equity History May 21st 2024

A Look At Huaxin Cement's Liabilities

According to the last reported balance sheet, Huaxin Cement had liabilities of CN¥18.4b due within 12 months, and liabilities of CN¥17.5b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥6.33b and CN¥4.23b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities total CN¥25.3b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

This deficit is considerable relative to its market capitalization of CN¥26.9b, so it does suggest shareholders should keep an eye on Huaxin Cement's use of debt. Should its lenders demand that it shore up the balance sheet, shareholders would likely face severe dilution.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

Huaxin Cement has net debt of just 0.93 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And it boasts interest cover of 7.8 times, which is more than adequate. Also good is that Huaxin Cement grew its EBIT at 17% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Huaxin Cement's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Huaxin Cement recorded negative free cash flow, in total. Debt is usually more expensive, and almost always more risky in the hands of a company with negative free cash flow. Shareholders ought to hope for an improvement.

Our View

Both Huaxin Cement's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its level of total liabilities were discouraging. At least its EBIT growth rate gives us reason to be optimistic. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Huaxin Cement is taking some risks with its use of debt. While that debt can boost returns, we think the company has enough leverage now. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Huaxin Cement that you should be aware of.

If you're interested in investing in businesses that can grow profits without the burden of debt, then check out this free list of growing businesses that have net cash on the balance sheet.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Huaxin Cement is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.