Stock Analysis

Ningxia Building Materials Group Co.,Ltd's (SHSE:600449) Stock Is Rallying But Financials Look Ambiguous: Will The Momentum Continue?

SHSE:600449
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Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd (SHSE:600449) has had a great run on the share market with its stock up by a significant 42% over the last three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors’ money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

Check out our latest analysis for Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd is:

2.6% = CN¥195m ÷ CN¥7.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2024).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.03 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

A Side By Side comparison of Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's Earnings Growth And 2.6% ROE

It is hard to argue that Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even when compared to the industry average of 5.7%, the ROE figure is pretty disappointing. Given the circumstances, the significant decline in net income by 24% seen by Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd over the last five years is not surprising. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

As a next step, we compared Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's performance with the industry and found thatNingxia Building Materials GroupLtd's performance is depressing even when compared with the industry, which has shrunk its earnings at a rate of 7.3% in the same period, which is a slower than the company.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:600449 Past Earnings Growth December 18th 2024

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It’s important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Looking at its three-year median payout ratio of 39% (or a retention ratio of 61%) which is pretty normal, Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd's declining earnings is rather baffling as one would expect to see a fair bit of growth when a company is retaining a good portion of its profits. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

In addition, Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd has been paying dividends over a period of at least ten years suggesting that keeping up dividend payments is way more important to the management even if it comes at the cost of business growth.

Conclusion

Overall, we have mixed feelings about Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. With that said, we studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that while the company has shrunk its earnings in the past, analysts expect its earnings to grow in the future. To know more about the latest analysts predictions for the company, check out this visualization of analyst forecasts for the company.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ningxia Building Materials GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.