Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Zhejiang Juhua (SHSE:600160) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SHSE:600160
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Zhejiang Juhua Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600160) makes use of debt. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Zhejiang Juhua

What Is Zhejiang Juhua's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2024 Zhejiang Juhua had debt of CN¥4.22b, up from CN¥2.00b in one year. However, it does have CN¥1.40b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥2.81b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600160 Debt to Equity History December 19th 2024

A Look At Zhejiang Juhua's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Zhejiang Juhua had liabilities of CN¥5.97b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥3.44b due beyond that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥1.40b as well as receivables valued at CN¥3.70b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥4.30b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Of course, Zhejiang Juhua has a market capitalization of CN¥58.7b, so these liabilities are probably manageable. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Zhejiang Juhua's net debt is only 0.98 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 55.3 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. On top of that, Zhejiang Juhua grew its EBIT by 55% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Zhejiang Juhua can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Zhejiang Juhua saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Happily, Zhejiang Juhua's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Zhejiang Juhua can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. Over time, share prices tend to follow earnings per share, so if you're interested in Zhejiang Juhua, you may well want to click here to check an interactive graph of its earnings per share history.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Zhejiang Juhua might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.