Stock Analysis

Investors Aren't Entirely Convinced By New China Life Insurance Company Ltd.'s (SHSE:601336) Earnings

SHSE:601336
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With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 15.9x New China Life Insurance Company Ltd. (SHSE:601336) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in China have P/E ratios greater than 32x and even P/E's higher than 60x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, New China Life Insurance's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

See our latest analysis for New China Life Insurance

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:601336 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 28th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on New China Life Insurance.

Does Growth Match The Low P/E?

New China Life Insurance's P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 73% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 58% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of earnings growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 27% per annum over the next three years. With the market predicted to deliver 26% growth per year, the company is positioned for a comparable earnings result.

With this information, we find it odd that New China Life Insurance is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It may be that most investors are not convinced the company can achieve future growth expectations.

What We Can Learn From New China Life Insurance's P/E?

We'd say the price-to-earnings ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

Our examination of New China Life Insurance's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't contributing to its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we assume potential risks are what might be placing pressure on the P/E ratio. It appears some are indeed anticipating earnings instability, because these conditions should normally provide more support to the share price.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with New China Life Insurance.

If you're unsure about the strength of New China Life Insurance's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether New China Life Insurance is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.