Stock Analysis

Improved Earnings Required Before China National Accord Medicines Corporation Ltd. (SZSE:000028) Shares Find Their Feet

SZSE:000028
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China National Accord Medicines Corporation Ltd.'s (SZSE:000028) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13.1x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 33x and even P/E's above 62x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

China National Accord Medicines' earnings growth of late has been pretty similar to most other companies. It might be that many expect the mediocre earnings performance to degrade, which has repressed the P/E. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Check out our latest analysis for China National Accord Medicines

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000028 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry May 12th 2024
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How Is China National Accord Medicines' Growth Trending?

China National Accord Medicines' P/E ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling earnings, and importantly, perform much worse than the market.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's bottom line as the year before. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow EPS by 9.6% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 7.8% per annum during the coming three years according to the seven analysts following the company. With the market predicted to deliver 25% growth each year, the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we can see why China National Accord Medicines is trading at a P/E lower than the market. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

The Final Word

While the price-to-earnings ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of earnings expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of China National Accord Medicines' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook is contributing to its low P/E. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for China National Accord Medicines that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of China National Accord Medicines' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether China National Accord Medicines is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.