Stock Analysis

We Think Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding (SHSE:601607) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SHSE:601607
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Warren Buffett famously said, 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. As with many other companies Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding Co., Ltd (SHSE:601607) makes use of debt. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt is a tool to help businesses grow, but if a business is incapable of paying off its lenders, then it exists at their mercy. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

See our latest analysis for Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding

What Is Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's Net Debt?

The image below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that at September 2023 Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding had debt of CN¥51.7b, up from CN¥46.9b in one year. However, it does have CN¥40.7b in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CN¥11.0b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:601607 Debt to Equity History February 29th 2024

How Strong Is Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding had liabilities of CN¥122.4b due within 12 months and liabilities of CN¥10.6b due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥40.7b and CN¥82.2b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥10.1b.

Since publicly traded Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding shares are worth a total of CN¥61.1b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Looking at its net debt to EBITDA of 1.1 and interest cover of 6.5 times, it seems to us that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding is probably using debt in a pretty reasonable way. But the interest payments are certainly sufficient to have us thinking about how affordable its debt is. And we also note warmly that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding grew its EBIT by 11% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding reported free cash flow worth 16% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. For us, cash conversion that low sparks a little paranoia about is ability to extinguish debt.

Our View

Both Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding's ability to handle its debt, based on its EBITDA, and its EBIT growth rate gave us comfort that it can handle its debt. On the other hand, its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow makes us a little less comfortable about its debt. It's also worth noting that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding is in the Healthcare industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the elements mentioned above, it seems to us that Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding is managing its debt quite well. Having said that, the load is sufficiently heavy that we would recommend any shareholders keep a close eye on it. Given Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding has a strong balance sheet is profitable and pays a dividend, it would be good to know how fast its dividends are growing, if at all. You can find out instantly by clicking this link.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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Find out whether Shanghai Pharmaceuticals Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.