Luzhou LaojiaoLtd Valuation

Is 000568 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000568 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000568 (CN¥153.89) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥336.02)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000568 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000568?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

The above table shows the n/a ratio for 000568. This is calculated by dividing 000568's market cap by their current preferred multiple.
What is 000568's n/a Ratio?
n/a	0x
n/a	n/a
Market Cap	n/a

000568 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	6.4x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	10.6x
PEG Ratio	1.4x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000568's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000568 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	19.5x
600809 Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd	22.3x	13.1%	CN¥284.7b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery	16.5x	7.7%	CN¥141.5b
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery	20.3x	13.7%	CN¥103.7b
000858 Wuliangye YibinLtd	18.8x	9.1%	CN¥629.8b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd	15.9x	11.3%	CN¥226.5b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the peer average (20.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000568's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

Fetching data

0 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Industry Avg.	n/a	11.9%
	n/a	n/a	n/a

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000568's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000568 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	15.9x
Fair PE Ratio	27.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (15.9x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (27.1x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000568 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
Date	Share Price	Average 1Y Price Target	Dispersion	High	Low	1Y Actual price	Analysts
Current	CN¥153.89	CN¥168.34 +9.4%	20.6%	CN¥244.88	CN¥105.00	n/a	17
Nov ’25	CN¥136.53	CN¥168.81 +23.6%	20.5%	CN¥244.88	CN¥105.00	n/a	17
Oct ’25	CN¥149.70	CN¥174.09 +16.3%	24.7%	CN¥280.00	CN¥93.00	n/a	15
Sep ’25	CN¥119.28	CN¥206.49 +73.1%	24.2%	CN¥293.00	CN¥130.00	n/a	15
Aug ’25	CN¥124.79	CN¥227.05 +81.9%	18.6%	CN¥293.00	CN¥131.66	n/a	15
Jul ’25	CN¥143.00	CN¥250.72 +75.3%	9.4%	CN¥293.00	CN¥206.00	n/a	17
Jun ’25	CN¥174.85	CN¥253.08 +44.7%	9.8%	CN¥293.10	CN¥206.00	n/a	18
May ’25	CN¥186.10	CN¥251.82 +35.3%	10.1%	CN¥293.10	CN¥194.00	n/a	19
Apr ’25	CN¥191.35	CN¥255.76 +33.7%	12.5%	CN¥300.00	CN¥194.00	n/a	18
Mar ’25	CN¥175.82	CN¥255.76 +45.5%	12.5%	CN¥300.00	CN¥194.00	n/a	18
Feb ’25	CN¥146.93	CN¥270.33 +84.0%	12.0%	CN¥343.00	CN¥200.00	n/a	17
Jan ’25	CN¥179.42	CN¥280.52 +56.3%	8.5%	CN¥343.00	CN¥240.00	n/a	17
Dec ’24	CN¥202.00	CN¥279.93 +38.6%	8.3%	CN¥343.00	CN¥240.00	n/a	18
Nov ’24	CN¥221.93	CN¥280.99 +26.6%	7.5%	CN¥343.00	CN¥245.00	CN¥136.53	18
Oct ’24	CN¥216.65	CN¥280.32 +29.4%	7.5%	CN¥343.00	CN¥245.00	CN¥149.70	18
Sep ’24	CN¥237.80	CN¥277.33 +16.6%	5.1%	CN¥300.00	CN¥245.00	CN¥119.28	19
Aug ’24	CN¥237.59	CN¥275.62 +16.0%	5.8%	CN¥300.00	CN¥240.00	CN¥124.79	19
Jul ’24	CN¥209.57	CN¥279.32 +33.3%	6.7%	CN¥309.00	CN¥240.00	CN¥143.00	18
Jun ’24	CN¥207.53	CN¥279.32 +34.6%	6.7%	CN¥309.00	CN¥240.00	CN¥174.85	18
May ’24	CN¥226.24	CN¥274.95 +21.5%	8.6%	CN¥308.00	CN¥223.00	CN¥186.10	17
Apr ’24	CN¥254.79	CN¥277.76 +9.0%	9.8%	CN¥318.00	CN¥223.00	CN¥191.35	17
Mar ’24	CN¥255.28	CN¥275.58 +8.0%	10.1%	CN¥318.00	CN¥223.00	CN¥175.82	17
Feb ’24	CN¥238.48	CN¥268.34 +12.5%	12.2%	CN¥318.00	CN¥210.00	CN¥146.93	17
Jan ’24	CN¥224.28	CN¥263.03 +17.3%	13.1%	CN¥318.00	CN¥210.00	CN¥179.42	16
Dec ’23	CN¥195.39	CN¥263.84 +35.0%	13.4%	CN¥318.00	CN¥210.00	CN¥202.00	16
Nov ’23	CN¥170.00	CN¥269.97 +58.8%	11.4%	CN¥318.00	CN¥225.00	CN¥221.93	16

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.