Luzhou Laojiao Co.,Ltd

XSEC:000568 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥200.6b

Luzhou LaojiaoLtd Valuation

Is 000568 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 000568 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 000568 (CN¥136.29) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥314.43)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 000568 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 000568?

Key metric: As 000568 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 000568. This is calculated by dividing 000568's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 000568's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio14.1x
EarningsCN¥14.27b
Market CapCN¥200.61b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 000568's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 000568 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.5x
600809 Shanxi Xinghuacun Fen Wine FactoryLtd
19.7x12.3%CN¥243.3b
002304 Jiangsu Yanghe Distillery
15.2x7.4%CN¥127.3b
000596 Anhui Gujing Distillery
17.9x12.8%CN¥89.4b
000858 Wuliangye YibinLtd
17.4x8.8%CN¥562.4b
000568 Luzhou LaojiaoLtd
14.1x11.0%CN¥200.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the peer average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 000568's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Beverage Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
000568 14.1xIndustry Avg. 23.0xNo. of Companies6PE01632486480+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the CN Beverage industry average (23x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 000568's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

000568 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio14.1x
Fair PE Ratio26.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 000568 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (14.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (26.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 000568 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥136.29
CN¥168.98
+24.0%
20.3%CN¥244.88CN¥105.00n/a17
Nov ’25CN¥136.53
CN¥168.81
+23.6%
20.5%CN¥244.88CN¥105.00n/a17
Oct ’25CN¥149.70
CN¥174.09
+16.3%
24.7%CN¥280.00CN¥93.00n/a15
Sep ’25CN¥119.28
CN¥206.49
+73.1%
24.2%CN¥293.00CN¥130.00n/a15
Aug ’25CN¥124.79
CN¥227.05
+81.9%
18.6%CN¥293.00CN¥131.66n/a15
Jul ’25CN¥143.00
CN¥250.72
+75.3%
9.4%CN¥293.00CN¥206.00n/a17
Jun ’25CN¥174.85
CN¥253.08
+44.7%
9.8%CN¥293.10CN¥206.00n/a18
May ’25CN¥186.10
CN¥251.82
+35.3%
10.1%CN¥293.10CN¥194.00n/a19
Apr ’25CN¥191.35
CN¥255.76
+33.7%
12.5%CN¥300.00CN¥194.00n/a18
Mar ’25CN¥175.82
CN¥255.76
+45.5%
12.5%CN¥300.00CN¥194.00n/a18
Feb ’25CN¥146.93
CN¥270.33
+84.0%
12.0%CN¥343.00CN¥200.00n/a17
Jan ’25CN¥179.42
CN¥280.52
+56.3%
8.5%CN¥343.00CN¥240.00n/a17
Dec ’24CN¥202.00
CN¥279.93
+38.6%
8.3%CN¥343.00CN¥240.00n/a18
Nov ’24CN¥221.93
CN¥280.99
+26.6%
7.5%CN¥343.00CN¥245.00CN¥136.5318
Oct ’24CN¥216.65
CN¥280.32
+29.4%
7.5%CN¥343.00CN¥245.00CN¥149.7018
Sep ’24CN¥237.80
CN¥277.33
+16.6%
5.1%CN¥300.00CN¥245.00CN¥119.2819
Aug ’24CN¥237.59
CN¥275.62
+16.0%
5.8%CN¥300.00CN¥240.00CN¥124.7919
Jul ’24CN¥209.57
CN¥279.32
+33.3%
6.7%CN¥309.00CN¥240.00CN¥143.0018
Jun ’24CN¥207.53
CN¥279.32
+34.6%
6.7%CN¥309.00CN¥240.00CN¥174.8518
May ’24CN¥226.24
CN¥274.95
+21.5%
8.6%CN¥308.00CN¥223.00CN¥186.1017
Apr ’24CN¥254.79
CN¥277.76
+9.0%
9.8%CN¥318.00CN¥223.00CN¥191.3517
Mar ’24CN¥255.28
CN¥275.58
+8.0%
10.1%CN¥318.00CN¥223.00CN¥175.8217
Feb ’24CN¥238.48
CN¥268.34
+12.5%
12.2%CN¥318.00CN¥210.00CN¥146.9317
Jan ’24CN¥224.28
CN¥263.03
+17.3%
13.1%CN¥318.00CN¥210.00CN¥179.4216
Dec ’23CN¥195.39
CN¥263.84
+35.0%
13.4%CN¥318.00CN¥210.00CN¥202.0016
Nov ’23CN¥170.00
CN¥269.97
+58.8%
11.4%CN¥318.00CN¥225.00CN¥221.9316

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price, but analysts are not within a statistically confident range of agreement.

Discover undervalued companies

Wellhope Foods

CN¥7.3b

Produces and sells feed products for swine, poultry, ruminant animals, aquaculture, and fur-farmed animals in China.

603609

CN¥8.00

7D

-2.1%

1Y

-10.8%

TECON BIOLOGYLTD

CN¥8.9b

Engages in the provision of animal health care, feed, pig breeding, agricultural product processing and trade, and financial services in China and internationally.

2100

CN¥6.54

7D

-1.1%

1Y

-15.5%

YanKer shop FoodLtd

CN¥13.9b

Researches and develops, produces, and sells leisure food products in China and internationally.

2847

CN¥50.90

7D

-7.8%

1Y

-11.7%