Stock Analysis

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300915) With Shares Advancing 26%

SZSE:300915
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Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300915) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 23% over that time.

Following the firm bounce in price, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 36.8x might make it look like a sell right now compared to the market in China, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios below 31x and even P/E's below 19x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think this poor earnings performance will turn the corner. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300915 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry April 3rd 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/E?

In order to justify its P/E ratio, Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the market.

Taking a look back first, the company's earnings per share growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 17%. Unfortunately, that's brought it right back to where it started three years ago with EPS growth being virtually non-existent overall during that time. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to climb by 41% during the coming year according to the only analyst following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to expand by 37%, which is not materially different.

With this information, we find it interesting that Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology is trading at a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly average growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.

What We Can Learn From Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's P/E?

Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology shares have received a push in the right direction, but its P/E is elevated too. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology's analyst forecasts revealed that its market-matching earnings outlook isn't impacting its high P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see an average earnings outlook with market-like growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the high P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology (1 is potentially serious!) that you should be aware of.

If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Shanghai Hi-Road Food Technology is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.